Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Adriano v Mateo

Adriano v Mateo

Adriano and Mateo have met 60 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.87 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 62%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
60
in the training window
Average
5.87
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
62% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now91%
History92%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now79%
History87%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now62%
History67%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now44%
History58%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now28%
History47%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now16%
History23%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now8%
History10%

Every scoreline they have produced

28.3%
35.0%
420.0%
58.3%
611.7%
723.3%
813.3%
96.7%
103.3%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
09 May 2026Mateo v Adriano5–49
09 May 2026Adriano v Mateo5–38
09 May 2026Mateo v Adriano3–47
09 May 2026Adriano v Mateo2–24
08 May 2026Mateo v Adriano2–24
08 May 2026Adriano v Mateo1–12
08 May 2026Adriano v Mateo4–37
08 May 2026Mateo v Adriano4–15

Full ratings for Adriano and Mateo. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Adriano v Mateo: how many goals?

Adriano and Mateo have met 60 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.87 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 62%.

How many goals do Adriano and Mateo usually score?

5.87 a match across 60 meetings. 58% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Adriano or Mateo?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Adriano on 3.02 goals and Mateo on 2.28.