Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Adriano v Sebastian

Adriano v Sebastian

Adriano and Sebastian have met 61 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.80 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 71%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
61
in the training window
Average
6.80
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
71% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now94%
History95%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now85%
History93%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now71%
History82%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now53%
History62%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now36%
History49%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now23%
History38%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now13%
History25%

Every scoreline they have produced

24.9%
31.6%
411.5%
519.7%
613.1%
711.5%
813.1%
96.6%
108.2%
114.9%
123.3%
141.6%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
05 Feb 2026Adriano v Sebastian6–39
05 Feb 2026Sebastian v Adriano5–510
05 Feb 2026Adriano v Sebastian3–25
05 Feb 2026Sebastian v Adriano4–610
05 Feb 2026Adriano v Sebastian1–12
05 Feb 2026Sebastian v Adriano1–45
26 Dec 2025Sebastian v Adriano2–24
26 Dec 2025Adriano v Sebastian8–412

Full ratings for Adriano and Sebastian. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Adriano v Sebastian: how many goals?

Adriano and Sebastian have met 61 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.80 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 71%.

How many goals do Adriano and Sebastian usually score?

6.80 a match across 61 meetings. 62% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Adriano or Sebastian?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Adriano on 3.56 goals and Sebastian on 2.29.