Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Alexander v Lucas

Alexander v Lucas

Alexander and Lucas have met 142 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.09 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 60%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
142
in the training window
Average
5.09
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
60% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now90%
History91%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now78%
History80%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now60%
History63%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now42%
History40%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now26%
History23%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now14%
History9%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now7%
History4%

Every scoreline they have produced

12.1%
26.3%
310.6%
417.6%
522.5%
617.6%
713.4%
84.9%
92.8%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
06 Aug 2026Alexander v Lucas2–24
06 Aug 2026Lucas v Alexander2–35
06 Aug 2026Alexander v Lucas3–14
06 Aug 2026Lucas v Alexander2–24
06 Aug 2026Alexander v Lucas3–14
06 Aug 2026Lucas v Alexander2–24
05 Aug 2026Alexander v Lucas1–56
05 Aug 2026Lucas v Alexander1–01

Full ratings for Alexander and Lucas. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Alexander v Lucas: how many goals?

Alexander and Lucas have met 142 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.09 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 60%.

How many goals do Alexander and Lucas usually score?

5.09 a match across 142 meetings. 40% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Alexander or Lucas?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Alexander on 2.61 goals and Lucas on 2.59.