Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Conde v Lucas

Conde v Lucas

Conde and Lucas have met 174 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.68 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 66%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
174
in the training window
Average
5.68
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
66% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now93%
History91%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now82%
History86%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now66%
History70%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now48%
History53%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now32%
History33%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now19%
History20%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now10%
History10%

Every scoreline they have produced

01.1%
26.9%
35.7%
415.5%
517.2%
620.1%
713.2%
89.8%
92.3%
106.3%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
20 Aug 2026Lucas v Conde4–59
20 Aug 2026Conde v Lucas4–37
20 Aug 2026Lucas v Conde2–13
20 Aug 2026Conde v Lucas0–00
20 Aug 2026Lucas v Conde2–24
20 Aug 2026Conde v Lucas5–38
16 Aug 2026Lucas v Conde3–25
16 Aug 2026Conde v Lucas1–12

Full ratings for Conde and Lucas. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Conde v Lucas: how many goals?

Conde and Lucas have met 174 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.68 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 66%.

How many goals do Conde and Lucas usually score?

5.68 a match across 174 meetings. 53% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Conde or Lucas?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Conde on 2.87 goals and Lucas on 2.69.