Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Gael v Mateo

Gael v Mateo

Gael and Mateo have met 188 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.15 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 62%.

Model expects 6goals next time
Meetings
188
in the training window
Average
6.15
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 5.5
62% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now96%
History94%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now89%
History88%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now77%
History70%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now62%
History56%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now45%
History41%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now30%
History29%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now18%
History16%

Every scoreline they have produced

11.6%
24.3%
35.3%
418.1%
514.4%
614.4%
712.8%
812.8%
96.4%
104.3%
112.7%
121.1%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
02 Jul 2026Mateo v Gael3–47
02 Jul 2026Gael v Mateo1–45
02 Jul 2026Mateo v Gael2–24
02 Jul 2026Gael v Mateo5–38
01 Jul 2026Mateo v Gael3–36
01 Jul 2026Gael v Mateo2–46
15 Apr 2026Mateo v Gael3–36
15 Apr 2026Gael v Mateo2–35

Full ratings for Gael and Mateo. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Gael v Mateo: how many goals?

Gael and Mateo have met 188 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.15 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 62%.

How many goals do Gael and Mateo usually score?

6.15 a match across 188 meetings. 56% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Gael or Mateo?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Gael on 3.44 goals and Mateo on 2.91.