Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Iron v Lucas

Iron v Lucas

Iron and Lucas have met 180 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.51 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 4 goals most likely, and the call is Over 3.5 at 69%.

Model expects 4goals next time
Meetings
180
in the training window
Average
5.51
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 3.5
69% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now85%
History92%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now69%
History85%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now49%
History69%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now31%
History51%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now17%
History32%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now9%
History14%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now4%
History6%

Every scoreline they have produced

11.7%
25.6%
37.2%
415.6%
518.3%
619.4%
717.8%
87.8%
92.8%
102.8%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
17 Aug 2026Lucas v Iron3–14
17 Aug 2026Iron v Lucas4–04
17 Aug 2026Lucas v Iron3–25
17 Aug 2026Iron v Lucas2–24
17 Aug 2026Lucas v Iron5–38
17 Aug 2026Iron v Lucas4–37
23 Jul 2026Iron v Lucas2–35
23 Jul 2026Lucas v Iron1–12

Full ratings for Iron and Lucas. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Iron v Lucas: how many goals?

Iron and Lucas have met 180 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.51 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 4 goals most likely, and the call is Over 3.5 at 69%.

How many goals do Iron and Lucas usually score?

5.51 a match across 180 meetings. 51% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Iron or Lucas?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Iron on 2.20 goals and Lucas on 2.42.