Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Iron v Mateo

Iron v Mateo

Iron and Mateo have met 94 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.02 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 67%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
94
in the training window
Average
6.02
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
67% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now93%
History95%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now82%
History82%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now67%
History68%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now49%
History57%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now32%
History38%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now19%
History28%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now10%
History15%

Every scoreline they have produced

25.3%
312.8%
413.8%
510.6%
619.1%
710.6%
812.8%
94.3%
106.4%
111.1%
122.1%
131.1%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
21 Aug 2026Iron v Mateo2–35
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Iron2–13
21 Aug 2026Iron v Mateo2–24
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Iron3–47
20 Aug 2026Iron v Mateo3–25
20 Aug 2026Mateo v Iron3–14
17 Aug 2026Iron v Mateo0–33
17 Aug 2026Mateo v Iron1–12

Full ratings for Iron and Mateo. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Iron v Mateo: how many goals?

Iron and Mateo have met 94 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.02 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 67%.

How many goals do Iron and Mateo usually score?

6.02 a match across 94 meetings. 57% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Iron or Mateo?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Iron on 2.75 goals and Mateo on 2.84.