Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Jason v Mateo

Jason v Mateo

Jason and Mateo have met 32 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.59 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 69%.

Model expects 6goals next time
Meetings
32
in the training window
Average
7.59
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 5.5
69% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now97%
History97%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now92%
History97%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now83%
History94%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now69%
History78%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now53%
History56%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now37%
History50%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now24%
History34%

Every scoreline they have produced

23.1%
43.1%
515.6%
621.9%
76.2%
815.6%
912.5%
106.2%
116.2%
126.2%
143.1%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
10 Aug 2026Mateo v Jason4–26
10 Aug 2026Jason v Mateo4–711
10 Aug 2026Mateo v Jason1–45
10 Aug 2026Jason v Mateo5–49
09 Aug 2026Mateo v Jason3–14
09 Aug 2026Jason v Mateo4–48
09 Aug 2026Jason v Mateo3–36
09 Aug 2026Mateo v Jason5–27

Full ratings for Jason and Mateo. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Jason v Mateo: how many goals?

Jason and Mateo have met 32 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.59 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 69%.

How many goals do Jason and Mateo usually score?

7.59 a match across 32 meetings. 78% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Jason or Mateo?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Jason on 2.98 goals and Mateo on 3.86.