Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Lucas v Mateo

Lucas v Mateo

Lucas and Mateo have met 36 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.08 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 3.5 at 76%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
36
in the training window
Average
5.08
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 3.5
76% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now90%
History94%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now76%
History86%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now58%
History56%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now40%
History36%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now24%
History22%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now13%
History14%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now6%
History6%

Every scoreline they have produced

02.8%
12.8%
38.3%
430.6%
519.4%
613.9%
78.3%
88.3%
92.8%
102.8%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
02 May 2026Lucas v Mateo2–24
02 May 2026Mateo v Lucas1–01
02 May 2026Lucas v Mateo4–48
02 May 2026Mateo v Lucas1–34
02 May 2026Lucas v Mateo3–47
02 May 2026Mateo v Lucas0–00
19 Apr 2026Mateo v Lucas2–24
19 Apr 2026Lucas v Mateo3–58

Full ratings for Lucas and Mateo. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Lucas v Mateo: how many goals?

Lucas and Mateo have met 36 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.08 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 3.5 at 76%.

How many goals do Lucas and Mateo usually score?

5.08 a match across 36 meetings. 36% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Lucas or Mateo?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Lucas on 2.64 goals and Mateo on 2.44.