Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Lucas v Mateo

Lucas v Mateo

Lucas and Mateo have met 42 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.31 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 65%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
42
in the training window
Average
5.31
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
65% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now92%
History95%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now81%
History88%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now65%
History60%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now47%
History40%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now31%
History29%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now18%
History19%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now9%
History5%

Every scoreline they have produced

02.4%
12.4%
37.1%
428.6%
519.0%
611.9%
79.5%
814.3%
92.4%
102.4%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
21 Aug 2026Lucas v Mateo4–37
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Lucas3–25
21 Aug 2026Lucas v Mateo5–38
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Lucas2–24
21 Aug 2026Lucas v Mateo4–48
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Lucas4–48
02 May 2026Lucas v Mateo2–24
02 May 2026Mateo v Lucas1–01

Full ratings for Lucas and Mateo. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Lucas v Mateo: how many goals?

Lucas and Mateo have met 42 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.31 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 65%.

How many goals do Lucas and Mateo usually score?

5.31 a match across 42 meetings. 40% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Lucas or Mateo?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Lucas on 2.86 goals and Mateo on 2.63.