Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Lucas v Nathan

Lucas v Nathan

Lucas and Nathan have met 24 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.38 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 4 goals most likely, and the call is Over 3.5 at 74%.

Model expects 4goals next time
Meetings
24
in the training window
Average
5.38
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 3.5
74% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now88%
History88%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now74%
History83%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now55%
History62%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now37%
History42%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now22%
History25%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now11%
History17%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now5%
History12%

Every scoreline they have produced

14.2%
28.3%
34.2%
420.8%
520.8%
616.7%
78.3%
84.2%
94.2%
104.2%
114.2%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
11 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas1–34
11 Aug 2026Lucas v Nathan5–27
11 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas2–24
11 Aug 2026Lucas v Nathan0–33
11 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas2–02
11 Aug 2026Lucas v Nathan2–24
14 May 2026Nathan v Lucas3–36
14 May 2026Lucas v Nathan3–47

Full ratings for Lucas and Nathan. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Lucas v Nathan: how many goals?

Lucas and Nathan have met 24 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.38 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 4 goals most likely, and the call is Over 3.5 at 74%.

How many goals do Lucas and Nathan usually score?

5.38 a match across 24 meetings. 42% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Lucas or Nathan?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Lucas on 2.55 goals and Nathan on 2.37.