Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Lucas v Nathan

Lucas v Nathan

Lucas and Nathan have met 27 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.07 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 61%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
27
in the training window
Average
5.07
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
61% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now91%
History81%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now78%
History78%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now61%
History59%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now42%
History37%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now27%
History22%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now15%
History15%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now7%
History11%

Every scoreline they have produced

17.4%
211.1%
33.7%
418.5%
522.2%
614.8%
77.4%
83.7%
93.7%
103.7%
113.7%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
27 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas2–35
27 Aug 2026Lucas v Nathan1–01
27 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas0–22
11 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas1–34
11 Aug 2026Lucas v Nathan5–27
11 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas2–24
11 Aug 2026Lucas v Nathan0–33
11 Aug 2026Nathan v Lucas2–02

Full ratings for Lucas and Nathan. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Lucas v Nathan: how many goals?

Lucas and Nathan have met 27 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.07 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 61%.

How many goals do Lucas and Nathan usually score?

5.07 a match across 27 meetings. 37% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Lucas or Nathan?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Lucas on 2.73 goals and Nathan on 2.50.