Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Lucas v VanGogh

Lucas v VanGogh

Lucas and VanGogh have met 112 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.47 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 68%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
112
in the training window
Average
5.47
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
68% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now93%
History91%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now83%
History82%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now68%
History64%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now50%
History48%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now33%
History32%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now20%
History18%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now11%
History8%

Every scoreline they have produced

12.7%
25.4%
38.9%
417.9%
516.1%
616.1%
714.3%
89.8%
91.8%
104.5%
111.8%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
11 Aug 2026VanGogh v Lucas5–27
11 Aug 2026Lucas v VanGogh4–37
11 Aug 2026VanGogh v Lucas2–35
11 Aug 2026Lucas v VanGogh4–48
11 Aug 2026VanGogh v Lucas3–36
11 Aug 2026Lucas v VanGogh2–35
06 Aug 2026Lucas v VanGogh3–36
06 Aug 2026VanGogh v Lucas0–00

Full ratings for Lucas and VanGogh. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Lucas v VanGogh: how many goals?

Lucas and VanGogh have met 112 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 5.47 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 68%.

How many goals do Lucas and VanGogh usually score?

5.47 a match across 112 meetings. 48% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Lucas or VanGogh?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Lucas on 2.94 goals and VanGogh on 2.73.