Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Mateo v Samuel

Mateo v Samuel

Mateo and Samuel have met 24 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.58 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 66%.

Model expects 5goals next time
Meetings
24
in the training window
Average
6.58
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 4.5
66% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now93%
History100%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now82%
History96%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now66%
History83%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now48%
History67%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now31%
History50%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now18%
History33%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now10%
History21%

Every scoreline they have produced

34.2%
412.5%
516.7%
616.7%
716.7%
812.5%
912.5%
108.3%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
24 Dec 2025Samuel v Mateo2–57
24 Dec 2025Mateo v Samuel3–14
24 Dec 2025Samuel v Mateo3–58
24 Dec 2025Mateo v Samuel6–39
24 Dec 2025Samuel v Mateo4–26
24 Dec 2025Mateo v Samuel6–410
22 Dec 2025Mateo v Samuel5–49
22 Dec 2025Samuel v Mateo0–55

Full ratings for Mateo and Samuel. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Mateo v Samuel: how many goals?

Mateo and Samuel have met 24 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.58 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 5 goals most likely, and the call is Over 4.5 at 66%.

How many goals do Mateo and Samuel usually score?

6.58 a match across 24 meetings. 67% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Mateo or Samuel?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Mateo on 3.06 goals and Samuel on 2.46.