Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Mateo v Sebastian

Mateo v Sebastian

Mateo and Sebastian have met 77 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.55 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 7 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 73%.

Model expects 7goals next time
Meetings
77
in the training window
Average
7.55
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 5.5
73% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now98%
History100%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now94%
History96%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now85%
History91%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now73%
History83%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now57%
History61%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now42%
History49%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now28%
History35%

Every scoreline they have produced

33.9%
45.2%
57.8%
622.1%
711.7%
814.3%
915.6%
106.5%
117.8%
123.9%
131.3%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
21 Aug 2026Sebastian v Mateo2–24
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Sebastian4–711
21 Aug 2026Sebastian v Mateo3–14
21 Aug 2026Mateo v Sebastian4–15
20 Aug 2026Sebastian v Mateo5–27
20 Aug 2026Mateo v Sebastian2–35
15 Aug 2026Mateo v Sebastian3–58
15 Aug 2026Sebastian v Mateo7–512

Full ratings for Mateo and Sebastian. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Mateo v Sebastian: how many goals?

Mateo and Sebastian have met 77 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.55 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 7 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 73%.

How many goals do Mateo and Sebastian usually score?

7.55 a match across 77 meetings. 83% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Mateo or Sebastian?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Mateo on 3.80 goals and Sebastian on 3.31.