Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Mateo v VanGogh

Mateo v VanGogh

Mateo and VanGogh have met 215 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.63 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 69%.

Model expects 6goals next time
Meetings
215
in the training window
Average
6.63
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 5.5
69% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now97%
History97%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now92%
History94%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now83%
History80%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now69%
History63%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now53%
History49%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now38%
History36%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now24%
History22%

Every scoreline they have produced

22.3%
32.8%
413.5%
517.2%
614.0%
713.5%
814.0%
99.8%
106.0%
112.8%
121.9%
131.4%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
25 Aug 2026Mateo v VanGogh3–36
25 Aug 2026VanGogh v Mateo2–35
25 Aug 2026Mateo v VanGogh2–24
25 Aug 2026VanGogh v Mateo3–36
25 Aug 2026Mateo v VanGogh5–49
25 Aug 2026VanGogh v Mateo5–49
12 Jul 2026Mateo v VanGogh6–28
12 Jul 2026VanGogh v Mateo2–24

Full ratings for Mateo and VanGogh. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Mateo v VanGogh: how many goals?

Mateo and VanGogh have met 215 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 6.63 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 69%.

How many goals do Mateo and VanGogh usually score?

6.63 a match across 215 meetings. 63% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Mateo or VanGogh?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Mateo on 3.45 goals and VanGogh on 3.41.