Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
97,127 matches trained
data to 2026-08-18 23:35 UTC

Head to head / Nathan v Sebastian

Nathan v Sebastian

Nathan and Sebastian have met 118 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.01 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 64%.

Model expects 6goals next time
Meetings
118
in the training window
Average
7.01
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 5.5
64% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now96%
History97%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now90%
History96%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now79%
History87%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now64%
History78%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now47%
History64%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now32%
History36%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now19%
History25%

Every scoreline they have produced

31.7%
48.5%
59.3%
613.6%
728.8%
810.2%
914.4%
106.8%
111.7%
121.7%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
08 May 2026Sebastian v Nathan2–13
08 May 2026Nathan v Sebastian3–47
08 May 2026Sebastian v Nathan2–57
08 May 2026Nathan v Sebastian5–27
07 May 2026Sebastian v Nathan4–48
07 May 2026Nathan v Sebastian3–14
07 May 2026Sebastian v Nathan3–36
07 May 2026Nathan v Sebastian5–49

Full ratings for Nathan and Sebastian. Figures update nightly on 97,127 matches.

Common questions

Nathan v Sebastian: how many goals?

Nathan and Sebastian have met 118 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.01 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 6 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 64%.

How many goals do Nathan and Sebastian usually score?

7.01 a match across 118 meetings. 78% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Nathan or Sebastian?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Nathan on 3.53 goals and Sebastian on 2.94.