Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Head to head / Sebastian v Splinter

Sebastian v Splinter

Sebastian and Splinter have met 128 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.01 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 7 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 72%.

Model expects 7goals next time
Meetings
128
in the training window
Average
7.01
goals a match, all-time
Our call
Over 5.5
72% likely

Model against history, line by line

What our model says about the next meeting, beside what these two have actually done. Where they disagree, the model is weighting recent form and the point in the session; the history column is every meeting equally.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
Model now98%
History99%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
Model now93%
History95%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
Model now85%
History86%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
Model now72%
History73%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
Model now57%
History54%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
Model now41%
History41%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
Model now27%
History26%

Every scoreline they have produced

34.7%
48.6%
512.5%
619.5%
713.3%
814.8%
99.4%
108.6%
114.7%
122.3%

Their last 8 meetings

DateMatchScoreGoals
27 Aug 2026Splinter v Sebastian5–38
27 Aug 2026Sebastian v Splinter4–26
27 Aug 2026Splinter v Sebastian6–28
27 Aug 2026Sebastian v Splinter6–39
26 Aug 2026Splinter v Sebastian6–511
26 Aug 2026Sebastian v Splinter3–58
25 Aug 2026Splinter v Sebastian2–24
25 Aug 2026Sebastian v Splinter4–37

Full ratings for Sebastian and Splinter. Figures update nightly on 100,135 matches.

Common questions

Sebastian v Splinter: how many goals?

Sebastian and Splinter have met 128 times in the eAdriatic League, averaging 7.01 goals a match. Our model makes the next meeting 7 goals most likely, and the call is Over 5.5 at 72%.

How many goals do Sebastian and Splinter usually score?

7.01 a match across 128 meetings. 73% went over 5.5.

Who scores more, Sebastian or Splinter?

Against each other at a typical point in a session the model expects Sebastian on 3.53 goals and Splinter on 3.54.