Rundown / 27 Aug
Argentina v Spain
Gabriel against Leonardo · international · 12:35
Final
4–3
7 goals
Our call
Over 5.5Hit
We said 62% likely, and it landed
Every line
6/7
We expected 6 goals and 7 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
96.1%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
89.1%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
77.2%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
61.7%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
44.9%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
29.7%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
17.9%
Every possible total
Gabriel against Leonardo
These two have met 330 times in the training window, averaging 6.58 goals a match. 67% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Argentina
3.69
Spain
2.66
Expected total
6.34
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.