Rundown / 27 Aug
Arsenal v Manchester Utd.
Leonardo against Flash · premier league · 09:05
Final
1–1
2 goals
Our call
Over 4.5Miss
We said 70% likely, and it did not
Every line
3/7
We expected 5 goals and 2 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
94.0%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
84.6%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
70.1%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
52.8%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
35.9%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
22.1%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
12.3%
Every possible total
Leonardo against Flash
These two have met 497 times in the training window, averaging 6.04 goals a match. 56% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Arsenal
2.69
Manchester Utd.
3.12
Expected total
5.81
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.