Rundown / 27 Aug
Atletico Madrid v Barcelona
Cezar against William · champions league · 11:15
Final
5–5
10 goals
Our call
Over 5.5Hit
We said 62% likely, and it landed
Every line
4/7
We expected 6 goals and 10 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
96.2%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
89.3%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
77.7%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
62.2%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
45.5%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
30.3%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
18.3%
Every possible total
Cezar against William
These two have met 30 times in the training window, averaging 5.83 goals a match. 60% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Atletico Madrid
3.43
Barcelona
2.95
Expected total
6.38
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.