Rundown / 27 Aug
Atletico Madrid v Manchester City
Cezar against Beckham · champions league · 12:00
Final
4–4
8 goals
Our call
Over 5.5Hit
We said 69% likely, and it landed
Every line
6/7
We expected 6 goals and 8 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
97.3%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
92.0%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
82.4%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
68.6%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
52.6%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
37.0%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
23.7%
Every possible total
Cezar against Beckham
These two have met 254 times in the training window, averaging 6.36 goals a match. 62% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Atletico Madrid
3.47
Manchester City
3.34
Expected total
6.81
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.