Rundown / 27 Aug
England v Spain
Lucas against George · international · 13:50
Final
3–3
6 goals
Our call
Over 3.5Hit
We said 70% likely, and it landed
Every line
6/7
We expected 4 goals and 6 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
86.3%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
70.5%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
51.1%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
32.8%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
18.7%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
9.5%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
4.3%
Every possible total
Lucas against George
These two have met 116 times in the training window, averaging 4.91 goals a match. 34% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
England
2.34
Spain
2.37
Expected total
4.71
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.