Rundown / 27 Aug
Manchester Utd. v Aston Villa
Flash against Bruno · premier league · 10:05
Final
0–5
5 goals
Our call
Over 4.5Hit
We said 75% likely, and it landed
Every line
6/7
We expected 6 goals and 5 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
95.5%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
87.8%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
75.2%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
59.0%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
42.1%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
27.3%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
16.1%
Every possible total
Flash against Bruno
These two have met 259 times in the training window, averaging 6.10 goals a match. 57% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Manchester Utd.
3.57
Aston Villa
2.61
Expected total
6.18
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.