Rundown / 27 Aug
Manchester Utd. v Newcastle U.
Nathan against Lucas · premier league · 16:20
Final
2–3
5 goals
Our call
Over 4.5Hit
We said 61% likely, and it landed
Every line
7/7
We expected 5 goals and exactly that was scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
90.7%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
78.0%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
60.8%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
42.4%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
26.4%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
14.8%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
7.4%
Every possible total
Nathan against Lucas
These two have met 27 times in the training window, averaging 5.07 goals a match. 37% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Manchester Utd.
2.57
Newcastle U.
2.66
Expected total
5.23
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.