Rundown / 27 Aug
Spain v England
George against Lucas · international · 15:05
Final
2–5
7 goals
Our call
Over 3.5Hit
We said 72% likely, and it landed
Every line
5/7
We expected 4 goals and 7 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
87.3%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
72.1%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
53.1%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
34.7%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
20.1%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
10.4%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
4.8%
Every possible total
George against Lucas
These two have met 116 times in the training window, averaging 4.91 goals a match. 34% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Spain
2.49
England
2.32
Expected total
4.81
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.