Stream Rundown

Goal distributions for the eAdriatic League. Every match is a distribution, not a scoreline — so the whole shape is published.

MODEL LIVE
100,135 matches trained
data to 2026-08-27 16:20 UTC

Rundown / 27 Aug

Spain v Germany

Leonardo against Flash · international · 11:35

Final 2–0 2 goals
Our call Over 4.5Miss
We said 71% likely, and it did not
Every line 3/7

We expected 5 goals and 2 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.

Every line, in case yours is different

Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.

OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
94.4%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
85.5%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
71.5%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
54.4%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
37.5%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
23.4%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
13.2%

Every possible total

00.2%
11.2%
24.2%
39.0%
414.0%
517.0%
616.9%
714.1%
810.2%
96.4%
103.6%
111.8%
120.8%

Leonardo against Flash

These two have met 497 times in the training window, averaging 6.04 goals a match. 56% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.

The rates underneath

Spain
2.77
Germany
3.13
Expected total
5.90

Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.