Rundown / 27 Aug
Spain v Holland
Leonardo against Bruno · international · 11:05
Final
3–1
4 goals
Our call
Over 5.5Miss
We said 63% likely, and it did not
Every line
5/7
We expected 6 goals and 4 were scored. Written before kickoff and not edited since.
Every line, in case yours is different
Bookmakers do not all offer the same line on the same match, so here is our number for each of them. Find the line your bookmaker is showing and read across.
OVER 2.5
3 goals or more
96.3%
OVER 3.5
4 goals or more
89.7%
OVER 4.5
5 goals or more
78.3%
OVER 5.5
6 goals or more
63.0%
OVER 6.5
7 goals or more
46.3%
OVER 7.5
8 goals or more
31.0%
OVER 8.5
9 goals or more
18.9%
Every possible total
Leonardo against Bruno
These two have met 366 times in the training window, averaging 6.57 goals a match. 66% went over 5.5 — 6 goals or more.
The rates underneath
Spain
3.46
Holland
2.97
Expected total
6.43
Goals each side is expected to score. These come from each operator's attack and defence rating and how deep into their session the match falls, and they are what the line probabilities above are built from. No odds are used anywhere on this site.